Section 4 - Hurricane Forecasts by Global Weather Oscillations Inc.
Global Weather Oscillations (GWO ) is striving to fill your needs as a consumer. This year we will provide various package forecasts to fulfill your planning needs.A. Premium Packages #1 and #2 are released to our clients in September and Decemberprior to the next hurricane season). Package #1 is a 4-year forecast, Package #2 is a 2-yearforecast. Some clients such as insurance, reinsurance and large companies require accurateplanning forecasts up to 10 months in advance, and accurate outlooks for the following 3-yearperiod. Their planning needs may also require accurate forecasts for only one or two GWOforecast zones, or for all 11 zones which GWO issues. Includes: 1.Accurate planning forecasts issued 6 and 9 months in advance2.Forecasts for tropical storm or hurricane conditions within the forecast zone3.11 forecast zones4.Forecasts for the upcoming season, or up to 4-years in advance5.Major hurricane forecasts6.Pick your zones7.Detailed handbook8.Climatology for each zone9.Discussions of the PFM forecast analog years for each zone 10.Up to a 4-year forecast for the El Nino - La Nina or Neutral Conditions 11.Forecast for how many major hurricanes are expected during the next 10 years 12.Use of the interactive weather page on GWO's Home Page. Proven Accuracy of this long-range forecast is about 90% (see Prior GWO Forecasts andTracks). This package is for the general public and consumer not requiring a long lead time forplanning purposes, or a detailed explanation of the cycles. GWO recognizes that yourbusiness may require accurate planning forecasts once the hurricane season begins on June1, or as late as August. Includes: 1.Accurate planning forecasts for the upcoming season available by June 1 2.Forecasts for tropical storm or hurricane conditions within the forecast zone expressed as a percent risk forecast for the occurrence of hurricane, major hurricane, or tropical storm conditions within your forecast zone sometime during the upcoming hurricane season.3.11 forecast zones4.Major hurricane forecasts5.Pick your zones at a reasonable cost to you6.Brief discussion of the PFM forecast analog years for each zone7.Use of the interactive weather page on GWO's Home Page Proven Accuracy of this long-range forecast is about 90% (see Prior GWO Forecasts andTracks). Section 5 - other Forecast Products - Prepared by GWO
1.La Niña - Neutral Conditions - El Niño2.Hurricane Zone Forecasts(issued to clients 9 and 6 months prior to the upcoming hurricane season)(issued to clients 9 and 6 months prior to the upcoming hurricane season)(available to the public on or before June 1 of the hurricane season)3.Earthquake ForecastsSection 2 - Unique Hurricane Forecasts by Global Weather Oscillations Inc.
GWO's Technology ... near 90% accuracy forecasting the "Hot" active zonesGWO is not an ordinary company. Here at GWO we utilize a very unique forecast tool thatenables us to provide an accurate hurricane-tropical storm landfall forecast for 11 coastal zonesfrom Maine to Mexico. GWO recognizes the needs of insurance companies, large companies andthe general consumer of smaller companies and businesses.By using cutting edge technology developed right here at GWO, we provide accurate long rangeclimate planning forecasts based on the "PFM" Primary Forcing Mechanism for Climate. The Primary Forcing Mechanism (PFM), discovered and researched by GWO, is the triggering mechanism that controls recurring cycles of the El Niño and regional hurricane landfalls. GWO’s models use PFM analog years based on the "Milankovitch Cycles of the Lunisolar Precession", historical hurricane cycles and the GWO predictions for either an El Niño orLa Niña. This technology is implemented into the GWO forecast models for regional hurricane landfall forecasts, global warming-cooling forecasts and El Niño forecasts. These models can provide accurate extended weather/climate cycle outlooks many years into the future, and into __________________________________________________________________________
Section 3 - Accuracy of the GWO Forecasts
Last years GWO hurricane zone forecasts issued to our clients 9 months prior to the onset of the2011 hurricane season, predicted hurricane and/or strong tropical storm conditions to occur inzone 1 Long Island and southern New England coast, zone 2 New Jersey through Virginia, zone 3eastern North Carolina, zone 9 Upper Gulf Coast and northeastern Texas zone 10. In late Augusthurricane Irene moved up the coast from North Carolina to New England. The last hurricane for thisregion was Bob in 1991. The strong tropical storm Emily (just under hurricane strength) poundedthe northeastern Texas coast, Louisiana and all the way east to the western Florida Panhandle. During the 6 years since 2006, GWO has a near 90% forecast accuracy for pinpointing tropicalSample - Public Forecast (actual 2011 prediction by GWO for this zone ... hurricane Irene hit this zone in 2011)Zone 3 Norfolk VA south to eastern NC to near Wilmington NC Predicted Hurricane and Tropical Storm Risks for 2011 Hurricane conditions = 70% risk Major Hurricane Risk (if hurricane occurs) = 35% risk Tropical Storm conditions= 75% risk 10 to 20% = low risk 25 to 35% = chance 45 to 55% high chance 60 to 65% = will likely occur 70 to 80% = expected to occur * When GWO’s PFM model predicts a zone has at least a 20% risk for a major Category 3-5 hurricane landfall, it is shown in the indicated forecast and/or outlook period(s) for that particular zone. Summary of ForecastAnalysis of the GWO Primary Forcing Mechanism (PFM) Cycle Hurricane Model predicts a high risk for a Category 1 or 2 hurricane in 2011, although a risk does exist for a majorhurricane (CAT 3) to track just offshore. The PFM indicates that this zone entered a very active cycle in 2011. When this cycle occurs, this zone typically experiences a hurricane. The tropical cyclones are expected tocome up from the south to southeast and likely continue north and northeast along the mid-Atlantic coast toward Long Island and the southern New England coast (Hurricane Irenewas a major CAT 3 hurricane and did pass right over eastern North Carolina in 2011). Atlantic Names for 2012
Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Emesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce,Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sandy, Tony, Valerie, WilliamZone 1 New England - Long Island NY
Zone 2 New Jersey - Delaware - Maryland - Virginia
Zone 3 Eastern North Carolina (Norfolk VA to Wilmington NC)
Zone 4 Southeast North Carolina and South Carolina
Zone 5 Georgia south to Daytona Florida
Zone 6 Cape Canaveral Florida to near Miami FL
Zone 7 Extreme South Florida - Miami south and Keys
Zone 8 Florida west coast from Marco Island North
Zone 9 FL Panhandle - Alabama - Mississippi - Louisiana
Zone 10 Corpus Christi Texas north to Central LA
Zone 11 Corpus Christi Texas south into northern Mexico
Acquire Forecast by Clicking the Zone
Hurricane and Tropical Storm Predictions 11 Coastal Forecast Zones New England to Florida and the Gulf of Mexico Region
Predictions for 2012 - 2013 - 2014 - 2015 4- year planning forecasts 2012 - Now Available GWO Predicts an Active Hurricane Landfall Season Will Your Zone Have Hurricane Conditions? near 90% accuracy predicting active zones past 7-years Section 1 GWO'S Forecast Zones - New England to Texas and Northern Mexico
(scrowl down below the map to see an example of a Zone Prediction)Accurate Hurricane Risk Prediction Service
by Global Weather Oscillations, Inc.
Hurricane Risk Forecasts
by GWO
Tropical Weather
GWO Earthquake Project
Global Weather Oscillations
El Niño - La Niña
Climate Change Speakers
Natural Climate Pulse
Global Weather Oscillations Inc.
Hurricane Risk Predictions Earthquake Predictions
El Niño Predictions La Niña Predictions
Climate Change - Weather Cycles Predictions
Accurate Long-Range Predictions Extending out 4 years and Beyond
