2014-15 Winter and Spring Predictions
David Dilley, GWO
*Patent Pending - Climate Pulse Technology - for prediction climate/weather cycles
GWO's Climate Pulse Technology incorporates several factors for determining the United State's winter of
2014-15. Determination of the severity of the 2015 winter (November 2014 into April 2015) is based on the
Natural Climate Pulse similarties to past years, the cooling of the Artic and expanding extent of Artic ice, positions
of semi-permanent weather features such as the Aleutian low pressure center, and the presence or non
presence of an El Nino or La Nina.
1. United States - Temperatures
Prediction: Last winter (2013-14) was the coldest in 15 to 25 years over the eastern two thirds of the United
States, and especially across the upper mid-west. The winter was preceded by about 120
consecutive days of below normal temperatures across much of the high Artic region.
This extended period of cold temperatures had not occurred in this region since the mid to late
1970s. This was once of the main ingredients that led to very cold Arctic Polar Vortex outbreaks
across Canada and the central and eastern portions of the United States. Meanwhile the west
coast of the United States was dry and warm, and Europe was likewise mild.
Could the winter of 2014-15 be a repeat performance of the 2013-14 winter?
GWO was the only organization to correctly predict there would not be an El Nino during the
the 2014 summer and fall, and GWO is one of the few organizations predicting there will not be
an El Nino this winter. With no El Nino in sight, and once again a period of about 120 consecutive
days of below normal temperatures across the high Arctic region during the 2014 spring and
summer months, the answer is "Yes" it very well may be a repeat winter. But it all depends on the
position of the Arctic Polar Vortex's. Will they occur in the same location, or more to the east or
Reasons for another winter similar to 2013-14 winter: GWO predicts the atmospheric conditions
causing the California drought will continue, there will not be an El Nino this winter (GWO's
prediction), there was colder than normal high Arctic temperatures this past summer, much like
last fall there is a large expanse of Arctic ice (this is where cold air pools), GWO expects the
atmospheric circulation will allow substantial Arctic air to penetrate southward across the central
and eastern portions of the United States.
The period from about 1997 through 2012 was the second twin peak of the now ending
global warming cycle. Every global warming cycle comes like clockwork about every 216 years
and is noted by two twin warm temperature periods that last approximately 10-12 years.
The first temperature peak occurred from about 1930 to 1940, the second and final peak
from about 1997 to 2012. Rapid cooling of the high Arctic in 2013 and 2014 denotes the
ending of the global warming cycle. Next cycle will be in about 120 years.
GWO's prediction for the winter of 2014-15 is much like last year's. Wobbling Polar Vortex's
will provide alternating shifts from extremely cold to near normal periods across much of the
United states, with the western areas of the United States again experiencing above normal
temperatures, but with a few cold Arctic Outbreaks and possible freezes in the citrus belt.
Temperatures across the eastern two thirds of the United States will be much colder than
the mild global warming period (1997-2012) as global cooling begins its' grip.
It will be well below the 1997-2012 average temperaturs from the upper mid west across the
central Great Lakes eastward to New England and south to the Carolinas. This will likely be
the coldest winter since the 1960s or early 1970s, and bring freezes into the deep south.
2. United States - Snow
Prediction: Frequent outbreaks of cold Artic air will cause numerous Alberta Clippers across
the northern plains that once reaching the east coast will likely cause
northeasters to form along the Atlantic Seaboard. Hurricane seasons which
have fewer than normal named storms are often followed by winter
northeasters. Expect difficulties in coastal cities from Washington to Maine, and
once again in some southern cities.
The Alberta Clipper type storms will cause above normal snow to fall across
the central and northern Plains. The combination of Alberta Clippers and
Arctic Cold Air outbreaks will cause above normal Lake Affect snow across the
lee side of the Great Lakes all the way to western New York State.
The combination of snow and cold will make this one of the most severe winters
since the 1970s and 80s.
3. United States - Precipitation
Prediction: The 2014-15 winter and spring will be much like the 2011 winter with above normal
precipitation from the lower Mississippi River basin northward to the upper plains and east to the
eastern seaboard. This will provide deep snow cover across the upper Mississippi watershed area,
this coupled with a wet April and rapid snow melt will likely cause the 11th greatest Mississippi
River Flooding of the past 100 years.
The Aleutian Low Pressure system over the northern Pacific Ocean will remain too far north to
relieve the drought in California. Oregon and Washington States will likely see above normal
precipitation, with far northern California likely seeing near or above precipitation.
Expect California to see more precipitation than last year, but still below normal and continuing the
Ever since planet Earth was created about 4.5 billion years ago, it has been exposed to natural processes and forcing mechanisms within the solar system and earth. During the course of millions of years, the interaction of these processes has implemented a natural climate and planetary rhythm. These rhythms include but are not limited to: day and night, the four annual seasons and weather events during the particular season, short-term climate fluctuations and oscillations within the seasons, and long-term climate change cycles such as glacial periods which occur approximately every 120 thousand years.
The gravitational cycles of the moon and sun cause the seasonal tilts of the earth's axis and the 4 seasons. The strong gravitational pull of the moon causes a bulge to form in the center of the 5 oceans. As the earth makes a complete rotation on its axis daily, the moon rises and falls in the sky. This causes dramatic changes to the gravitational pull, with increases and decreases occurring during the daily cycle. This causes a gravitational pulse which in turn causes an interactive plunging action on the ocean's bulge, thus producing the twice daily ocean tides. The gravitational tides are also noticed in the earth's atmosphere, and in lower depths of the ocean.
The daily rotation of the earth provides the twice daily tides, and the 27.5 day elliptical path of the moon around the earth provides a monthly and bi-monthly gravitational pulse. The cycles then extend out in time as the elliptical path of the earth around the sun, and the moon around the earth cyclical change from one month to the next, every 6 months, 4 years, 9 years, 18 years and beyond. The earths 130 thousand year elliptical path is well documented in science and is proven to be the cause for the earth's inter-glacial (warm) as the earth swings in closer to the sun, and glacial periods (cold) that occur every 130 thousand years as the earth swings further away from the sun. The current warm inter-glacial period peaked about 7 thousand years ago, and the peak of the next glacial period will be 70 to 110 thousand years from now.
The earth's climate is very complex and very cyclical due to the PFM Natural Climate Pulse interacting with the oceans, atmosphere and inner/outer cores of earth. The high and low tides of the oceans alternate approximately every 6 hours, and ocean tides and some currents change with the PFM cycles. Above the surface of the Earth is the atmosphere which is made up of nitrogen, oxygen, water vapor and other gases which move fluidly around the planet. The flow of these atmospheric gases are caused by the rotation of the earth, heating of the atmosphere and ground by the sun, proximity of mountain ranges and water bodies such as oceans, and forcing mechanisms such as gravitational tides caused by the PFM cycles
Earth's temperature changes seasonally due to the seasonal tilt of the earth, with longer term cycles due to the PFM Natural Pulse cycles every 10-years, 230 years and 130 thousand years. Carbon dioxide concentrations are a naturally occurring cycle connected to the short-term global warming cycles that occur approximately every 230 years, and the longer term 130 thousand year glacial and inter-glacial cycles. The eBook written by Mr. Dilley of GWO (avalable on the Natural Pulse Page) illustrates that earth's current temperatures and carbon dioxide levels are perfectly normal for global warming cycle that was occurring up to the year 2012 (now beginning to slip into global cooling for the next 150 years).
GWO’s nineteen (19) years of ongoing research uses a combination of Meteorology, Oceanography, Climatology, Geology and Astronomy along with extensive historical weather and climate data to develop techniques for climate prediction.