Accuracy of the GWO Predictions

Since 2006
     

GWO's 4 year hurricane predictions released in December 2009 accurately predicted Hurricane Irene in 2011 and Super Storm Sandy and Hurricane Isaac in 2012.  Copies of the Predictions are available by clicking here.

How Well GWO Predicted

2016 - 2017 - 2018 - 2019 Hurricane Seasons

 

GWO predicted 6-months in advance - all landfall locations in 2016 - 2019

 

2019 - Predicted Category 2-5 Dorian path and landfall

                               Category 1 Barry's exact landfall location

2018 - Predicted Category 4 Michael exact landfall location (Upper Gulf)

                               Category 1 Florence (Carolina's)

2017 - Predicted Category 4 Irma exact landfall location (Western Florida) - Harvey (Texas)

                               Category 1 Nate (Mobile Ala.)

2016 - Predicted Coastal hugging Mathew (Florida-Carolina's) -

Category 1 Hermine (upper Gulf) 

                                  

 Average Hurricane Season   11 named storms      6 hurricanes       0.6   U.S.  major impact landfalls

 

 2019 season                              14 named storms     5 hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)

 2019 prediction by GWO        13 named storms     6 hurricanes         2    U.S.  landfalls (and where)

 other predictions                    9-15 named storms  4-8 hurricanes     do not predict landfalls - or locations

 2018 season                              15 named storms      8 hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)

 2018 prediction by GWO        16 named storms     8 hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)

 other predictions                    12 named storms     5 hurricanes         do not predict landfalls - or locations

 Average Hurricane Season   11 named storms     6  hurricanes       0.6     U.S.  major impact landfalls

 2017 Season                              18 named storms   10  hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)

 2017 Prediction by GWO        16 named storms     8  hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)

 other predictions                    12 named storms      5 hurricanes         do not predict landfalls - or locations

      

 Average Hurricane Season   11 named storms      6 hurricanes       0.6   U.S.  major impact landfalls

 2016 Season                              15 named storms      7 hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where)                                         2016 Prediction by GWO      15 named storms      7 hurricanes         2    U.S.  major impact landfalls (and where) 

   other predictions                  14 named storms       6 hurricanes        do not predict landfalls - or locations

            

           ___________________________________________ 

                         

Press Release    5 Months Prior to the Beginning of the 2017 Hurricane Season

Strong 2017 Hurricane Season  - full Press Release  click here

United States will have 6 Named Storm Landfalls

Most Dangerous and Costly Season in at least 12-years  

 

GWO's Prediction Zones Released in January 2017 and 2018 - Correctly Predicted

Category 4 Michael ( Upper Gulf) and Category 1 Florence (Carolina's)

Great Florida Hurricane of 2017 - breaking out of 12 year quiet period

Texas - breaking out of their 9-year quiet period 

2 Major Impact Hurricanes for the United States (had 2 - Harvey and Irma)

6 Named Storms will make landfall (had 6)

                                                                                 

View - Actual Florida Predictions Released in Feb. 2017  click here

Pre-Season Prediction Verification Accuracy by Organization  2009 - 2017   click here 

Prediction Accuracy by Organizations Past 9-Years  2009-2017   click here

Predicted:    9 Months in Advance

2018     Would be another Expensive and Dangerous Season - 

with 2 major impact hurricanes

    Predicted Category 4 Michael (upper Gulf)

    Predicted Category 1 Florence (Carolina's)

    2017   Would be the Most Expensive and Dangerous Season Since 2005

2017     Would have 6 named storm landfalls in 2017 - had 6

2017     El Nino would not develop - Neutral Conditions for the Season

2017     Category 3-4 Hurricane Irma - Great Florida Hurricane of 2017

2017     Category 1 Nate landfall between New Orleans - Mobile

2017     Texas - breaking out of their 9-Year Hurricane Drought

Landfall just above Corpus Christi

2017     Hurricane Conditions for New England -

Super Storm came October 30th with Category 1 conditions

2016     Coastal hugger Category 3 Hurricane Mathew FL-NC

2016     Category 1 Hurricane Hermine (Upper Gulf) with Tropical Storm 

conditions into Zones 8-5-4-3  (Georgia to the Carolina's) 

 

                                                                      click here for 2016 Review     

 

                 

Pre-Season Hurricane Accuracy by Organizations        click here 

Hurricane Climatology by Month                                           click here

Hurricane and Weather Graphics                                click here    

GWO's 11 U.S. Zones             Lesser Antilles Zones     Sample Zone Prediction   Prediction Accuracy by Organizatio

 

GWO Correctly Predicted - 1 to 3 Years in Advance
with a near 90% hot zone accuracy since 2006
                                       
2015  Predicted 10 Named Storms - there were 10
2014  Predicted there would not be an El Nino
2013  No hurricanes for United States 
   Only organization to predict less than 13 named storms
2012  hybrid Hurricane Sandy .. strongest cycle in 50 to 110 years
2012  Hurricane Issac
2011  Hurricane Irene ... strongest cycle in 50 to 110 years
2011  the Great Mississippi River Flood
2009  El Nino - No Hurricane Strikes
2008  Hurricane Ike
                            
 
Predictions for All Zones Since 2006
shows GWO's predictions and the actual Storm Tracks during the hurricane season
2006    Click here 


2007     Click here



2008     Click here


2009    Click here

2010    Click here

 

2011    Click here

​2012    Click here
 
​2013    Click here

                  
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               GlobalWeatherCycles.com    GlobalWetherOscillations.com      Tampa Florida - Ocala Florida USA